Sunday, November 30, 2008

NAPIC + Google Earth: The Crisis Prevention Infrastructure for Malaysia

Effective Collateral Valuation and Management is key to survival in the Banking Industry, we've seen failures of the American Banking System which triggered the Subprime Crisis.....

So how can we avoid such event and help our economy to effectively monitor real estate credit exposures.....





First we have a goldmine of real estate information residing in NAPIC (National Property Information Center).....just imagine if we can collect ALL transactional information on Real Estate both on Primary and Secondary market in Malaysia, this can be done via consolidating all Sale and Purchase Agreement with a standard data submission format.....get the legal firms to become collection agents........historical data can be derived from tax department.........Next consolidate all advertisement information in Major Print and Real Estate portals...this will become the source of Secondary market data both for rental and sales activity

All of these data then can be visualised via Google earth, perhaps via a special program to be agreed between NAPIC and Google.......The key is single unique identification number of the House/Apartment/Building/lands/units etc either via the "regulatory" unique address... once the ID can be constructed and maintained by the operator .......the business begins....

This information can then be used by the Banking Institutions say by integrating their internal loan portfolio data with the information in NAPIC being visualized via Google Earth......imagine a credit portfolio manager being able to view a specific location with the primary and secondary market prices, borrower profiles and credit history......Index of Real estate prices by location and type can then be build for monitoring and pricing of new loans........

8 years ago ..i went to a local bank for an Islamic Mortgage.......they only had "Al-Bai Bitamin Ajil".........looked into the fine print......somehow something was not right.....they projected the future price on my house by simply applying the current financing rate or the price of money on the original value of my house to derive the "profit" which i need to pay back on top of my principal payment.......i said F*&K......how come u use the price of money or interest rate??.....tell me what's ISLAMIC about that......so i went around to shop for my mortgage....everybody was offering the same thing......now even BNM is worried .......


Underlying Problems.......




so i spoke to a few people about setting up an indepth house price index so that loans can be priced more accurately......well that was 2000....we did not have the technology nor the political will to do it.......Have a look and let me know if this is possible......if it works go do it........and make some proper/halal money out of it......and remember to pay your zakat and be charitable to the needy.........


1 Key assumptions.....

2 The Framework......

3 Potential Mathematical Formula........


4 Mortgage Structure 1........

5 Mortgage Structure 2......


6 How ensure all Malaysians can own a home......



7 How to fund the operations.......

Minds are like parachutes; they work best when open. -Lord Thomas Dewer